Question 1

What does ATS mean in NFL betting?

Accepted Answer

ATS stands for "Against The Spread." It measures how well picks perform relative to the Vegas point spread, not just picking winners. A team can lose the game but still cover the spread and win ATS.

Question 2

How accurate are Prediction Matrix NFL picks?

Accepted Answer

Our NFL model achieves approximately 55% ATS accuracy over the season. We track all picks transparently so you can verify our historical performance on this results page.

Question 3

What is a push in NFL betting?

Accepted Answer

A push occurs when the final margin exactly matches the spread. For example, if Team A is -7 and wins by exactly 7 points, the bet is a push and your stake is returned. Pushes are tracked separately in our ATS records.

Question 4

What win rate do you need to be profitable betting against the spread?

Accepted Answer

You need approximately 52.4% ATS accuracy to break even when paying standard -110 juice. Anything above 55% is considered excellent and generates consistent profit over time. Our model targets edges where we have the highest historical accuracy.