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112 games shown6/112 within price-age limitsAll times ETExperimental forecasts · edge unproven

Model win	Score	Home spread	Total	Δ market
TOR 56.9%Model estimate	3.2–3.6	-0.5	6.8	—
MTL 73.6%Model estimate	1.5–4.7	-2.5	6.2	—
TB 62.4%Model estimate	2.7–3.8	-1.0	6.5	—
NYR 52.0%Signals differ	3.3–2.8	+0.5	6.1	—
MIN 62.8%Model estimate	4.4–1.4	+2.5	5.8	—
VGK 50.4%Model estimate	3.7–2.8	+1.0	6.5	—
WSH 55.9%Model estimate	2.9–3.0	0.0	5.9	—
COL 54.6%Model estimate	4.2–2.3	+1.5	6.5	—
NJ 50.0%Model estimate	3.8–2.8	+1.0	6.6	—
CAR 64.5%Model estimate	4.7–1.5	+2.5	6.2	—
ANA 56.7%Model estimate	4.5–2.5	+1.5	7.0	—
DET 58.8%Model estimate	105.8–111.2	-3.5	217.0	+6.3pp
WSH 62.0%Model estimate	109.2–114.2	-3.0	223.4	—
BOS 76.3%Model estimate	104.8–123.2	-12.0	228.0	—
BKN 53.4%Model estimate	107.1–109.1	-1.5	216.2	+9.5pp
NY 70.0%Model estimate	105.6–120.2	-9.5	225.8	—
BUF 56.2%Model estimate	3.2–3.2	0.0	6.4	—
FLA 69.9%Model estimate	1.7–4.4	-2.5	6.1	—
MEM 81.7%Model estimate	103.7–124.7	-13.5	228.4	—
NO 70.9%Model estimate	108.6–122.3	-9.0	230.9	—
OKC 61.2%Model estimate	111.0–114.2	-2.0	225.2	+5.1pp
HOU 67.9%Model estimate	108.8–116.7	-5.0	225.5	-8.0pp
DEN 52.0%Signals differ	115.6–112.5	+2.0	228.1	—
POR 64.9%Model estimate	122.0–107.7	+9.5	229.7	—
SA 65.2%Model estimate	107.7–117.1	-6.0	224.8	-19.7pp
LAL 65.5%Model estimate	123.5–109.0	+9.5	232.5	—
LA 60.1%Model estimate	2.7–3.4	-0.5	6.1	—
SEA 58.4%Model estimate	2.9–3.7	-0.5	6.6	—
LAC 50.4%Signals differ	115.5–114.7	+0.5	230.2	—
MTL 59.5%Model estimate	2.9–3.6	-0.5	6.5	—
DET 56.2%Model estimate	3.1–3.1	0.0	6.2	—
TB 73.5%Model estimate	1.6–4.9	-3.0	6.5	—
NJ 63.1%Model estimate	2.5–3.7	-1.0	6.2	—
CAR 58.1%Model estimate	4.1–1.9	+2.0	6.0	—
NYR 62.5%Model estimate	2.3–3.7	-1.0	6.0	—
BOS 59.7%Model estimate	4.3–2.0	+2.0	6.3	—
DAL 52.6%Model estimate	3.5–2.1	+1.0	5.6	—
WPG 62.7%Model estimate	2.7–3.8	-1.0	6.5	—
EDM 75.0%Model estimate	1.8–5.2	-3.0	7.0	—
JAX 69.6%Model estimate	31.8–13.5	+10.0	45.3	+11.6pp
PHX 57.3%Model estimate	112.2–114.4	-1.5	226.6	—
COL 67.3%Model estimate	2.2–4.4	-2.0	6.6	—
GS 71.3%Model estimate	110.5–122.6	-8.0	233.1	—
ATL 51.6%Model estimate	111.7–111.7	0.0	223.4	—
BOS 59.9%Model estimate	114.2–103.6	+7.0	217.8	—
BUF 61.7%Model estimate	2.6–3.6	-1.0	6.2	—
PHI 53.7%Model estimate	114.0–111.3	+2.0	225.3	—
DAL 72.5%Model estimate	105.5–119.3	-9.0	224.8	—
MEM 64.3%Model estimate	107.1–117.2	-6.5	224.3	—
TOR 61.6%Model estimate	121.4–108.9	+8.0	230.3	—
MIN 51.6%Model estimate	117.8–113.4	+3.0	231.2	—
MIN 73.5%Model estimate	1.4–4.6	-2.5	6.0	—
CGY 61.6%Model estimate	2.9–3.6	-0.5	6.5	—
LAL 54.4%Model estimate	115.3–115.5	0.0	230.8	—
SA 64.4%Model estimate	121.5–106.8	+9.5	228.3	—
WSH 59.0%Model estimate	2.9–3.4	-0.5	6.3	—
STL 50.6%Model estimate	3.5–2.7	+0.5	6.2	—
DEN 57.0%Model estimate	115.4–111.5	+2.5	226.9	—
SEA 60.9%Model estimate	2.9–3.7	-0.5	6.6	—
TOR 54.2%Model estimate	3.3–3.3	0.0	6.6	—
OTT 53.6%Signals differ	3.4–3.2	0.0	6.6	—
NJ 50.3%Model estimate	3.4–2.6	+0.5	6.0	—
ATL 67.8%Model estimate	106.8–117.6	-7.0	224.4	—
CLE 60.6%Model estimate	109.4–114.4	-3.0	223.8	—
OKC 60.5%Model estimate	107.6–111.0	-2.0	218.6	—
CAR 81.4%Model estimate	0.9–5.3	-3.5	6.2	—
DAL 67.1%Model estimate	1.8–3.9	-2.0	5.7	—
MIN 62.9%Model estimate	2.5–3.8	-1.0	6.3	—
GS 73.0%Model estimate	105.7–119.9	-9.0	225.6	—
HOU 70.2%Model estimate	123.0–105.4	+11.5	228.4	—
COL 63.1%Model estimate	2.6–4.0	-1.0	6.6	—
LA 60.2%Model estimate	3.0–3.5	-0.5	6.5	—
POR 60.4%Model estimate	111.0–115.6	-3.0	226.6	—
EDM 83.8%Model estimate	1.3–5.6	-3.5	6.9	—
CIN 51.9%Model estimate	27.0–20.1	+4.0	47.1	—
IND 54.4%Signals differ	25.4–23.5	+1.0	48.9	—
KC 82.0%Model estimate	11.1–32.7	-12.0	43.8	—
DET 71.3%Model estimate	31.5–14.2	+9.5	45.7	—
NO 50.3%Signals differ	23.4–21.2	+1.0	44.6	—
PHI 52.7%Signals differ	25.1–21.9	+2.0	47.0	—
LAR 70.8%Model estimate	32.2–16.7	+8.5	48.9	—
DEN 75.1%Model estimate	30.3–16.2	+8.0	46.5	—
BOS 65.2%Model estimate	2.2–3.9	-1.5	6.1	—
PHI 70.6%Model estimate	122.3–105.0	+11.0	227.3	—
BUF 56.2%Signals differ	3.3–3.1	0.0	6.4	—
HOU 61.6%Model estimate	29.3–14.4	+8.0	43.7	—
NE 72.2%Model estimate	13.2–29.8	-9.0	43.0	—
SF 87.3%Model estimate	13.7–36.0	-12.5	49.7	—
SEA 87.1%Model estimate	11.7–34.6	-12.5	46.3	—
DET 61.5%Model estimate	109.3–115.3	-4.0	224.6	—
MIN 77.4%Model estimate	102.5–123.1	-13.5	225.6	—
TOR 51.6%Signals differ	3.5–3.1	+0.5	6.6	—
TB 60.6%Model estimate	4.5–1.9	+2.0	6.4	—
CGY 64.9%Model estimate	2.3–3.7	-1.0	6.0	—
DAL 70.0%Model estimate	105.6–117.1	-7.5	222.7	—
BOS 64.9%Model estimate	120.7–107.3	+8.5	228.0	—
ANA 59.1%Model estimate	3.2–3.6	-0.5	6.8	—
CHI 78.3%Model estimate	11.2–31.4	-11.0	42.5	—
NO 55.9%Model estimate	118.1–112.1	+4.0	230.2	—
SAC 52.2%Signals differ	118.2–115.8	+1.5	234.0	—
LAL 55.6%Model estimate	117.7–112.9	+3.0	230.6	—
CLE 55.9%Model estimate	114.9–106.9	+5.0	221.8	—
DET 68.0%Model estimate	103.3–114.1	-7.0	217.4	—
MEM 54.7%Model estimate	116.8–112.7	+2.5	229.5	—
DAL 71.6%Model estimate	107.4–118.0	-7.0	225.4	—
EDM 73.3%Model estimate	1.7–4.8	-2.5	6.5	—
BUF 53.2%Model estimate	25.3–20.3	+3.0	45.6	—
HOU 75.1%Model estimate	104.9–121.4	-10.5	226.3	—
SA 61.6%Model estimate	120.4–108.1	+8.0	228.5	—
PHI 53.2%Model estimate	3.8–2.6	+1.0	6.4	—
GS 65.8%Model estimate	113.1–120.0	-4.5	233.1	—
NYI 51.7%Model estimate	3.6–2.4	+1.0	6.0	—

Source coverage

NFL15 games · published 1h 6m ago

NBA47 games · published 5m ago

NHL50 games · published 6m ago

CBBNo upcoming games in source

WNBANo upcoming games in source

30 started/non-scheduled · 28 invalid · 0 duplicate · 0 over limit excluded

NHL · Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs

Scotiabank Arena

Model leans TOR56.9%Forward accuracy unverified · frozen model

Market leans ——Exact-match prices unavailable

Forecast versus the offered line

Projected score · away / home: 3.2 / 3.6
Model home spread: -0.5
Model total: 6.8
Model − market · home win: Unavailable / stale

A likely winner can still be overpriced. The probability gap is a research question, not demonstrated betting value.

Inputs behind the forecast

Home goals per game: 3.8
Away goals per game: 3.6
Home Elo: 1522.0
Away Elo: 1522.0
Elo score adjustment: 0.0
Home-ice adjustment: 0.3

Game context

Injuries: Not supplied for this game
Weather: Not supplied / not applicable
Rest: Not supplied

Evidence

Forecast published Nov 3, 4:00 PM ET (6m ago). Within the three-hour forecast limit.

Open published forecast source ↗

Injury, weather and input-specific update times are not supplied by this blob; its publication time is not proof that every input is fresh.

Bookmaker event time differs or match is ambiguous. Prices were not joined to this forecast.

No exact team-and-start-time match on the game-price board.

Individual bookmaker totals are withheld: the forecast feed does not identify their source event. Exact-match board prices remain available when supplied.