Question 1

What are Elo ratings in NFL?

Accepted Answer

Elo ratings are a mathematical system for calculating the relative skill levels of NFL teams. Our model starts each team at 1500 and adjusts ratings based on game outcomes, margin of victory, and home field advantage. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

Question 2

How often are NFL power rankings updated?

Accepted Answer

Our NFL power rankings are updated automatically after each game is completed. Ratings adjust based on the actual game results compared to expected outcomes.

Question 3

How are NFL betting predictions calculated?

Accepted Answer

Our predictions use Elo ratings to calculate expected point spreads, incorporating home field advantage, weather conditions, and injury reports. We compare our model spread to Vegas lines to identify betting value.

Question 4

What is a good Elo rating in NFL?

Accepted Answer

An Elo rating above 1550 indicates an above-average NFL team, while ratings above 1600 suggest a playoff-caliber team. Elite teams typically range from 1650-1750. The league average is always 1500, so any rating above that means the team is performing better than average.

Rank	Team	Elo	PPG	Opp PPG
1	SEASeattle Seahawks	1724	13.0	10.0
2	JAXJacksonville Jaguars	1663	34.0	10.0
3	DENDenver Broncos	1659	22.0	22.0
4	SFSan Francisco 49ers	1646	27.0	7.0
5	NENew England Patriots	1642	10.0	13.0

Rank	Team	Elo	PPG	Opp PPG
6	BUFBuffalo Bills	1637	36.0	31.0
7	HOUHouston Texans	1625	31.0	36.0
8	LARLos Angeles Rams	1598	7.0	27.0
9	CHIChicago Bears	1584	59.0	37.0
10	MINMinnesota Vikings	1563	39.0	22.0
11	PHIPhiladelphia Eagles	1554	24.0	22.0
12	PITPittsburgh Steelers	1549	20.0	13.0

Rank	Team	Elo	PPG	Opp PPG
13	BALBaltimore Ravens	1536	41.0	23.0
14	DETDetroit Lions	1530	31.0	30.0
15	LACLos Angeles Chargers	1513	14.0	26.0
16	GBGreen Bay Packers	1492	22.0	39.0
17	ATLAtlanta Falcons	1478	13.0	20.0
18	CINCincinnati Bengals	1448	33.0	27.0
19	INDIndianapolis Colts	1439	23.0	41.0
20	NONew Orleans Saints	1439	30.0	31.0

Rank	Team	Elo	PPG	Opp PPG
21	TBTampa Bay Buccaneers	1430	27.0	33.0
22	CARCarolina Panthers	1428	37.0	59.0
23	KCKansas City Chiefs	1424	22.0	22.0
24	NYGNew York Giants	1417	28.0	20.0
25	DALDallas Cowboys	1417	20.0	28.0
26	MIAMiami Dolphins	1404	13.0	27.0
27	CLECleveland Browns	1399	10.0	34.0
28	WSHWashington Commanders	1392	22.0	24.0
29	ARIArizona Cardinals	1379	26.0	14.0
30	NYJNew York Jets	1349	23.0	10.0
31	LVLas Vegas Raiders	1339	27.0	13.0
32	TENTennessee Titans	1303	10.0	23.0

Power Rankings